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Title
Projections of health care spending to 1990.
First Author
Arnett 3d, Ross H
Date of Pub
1986 Spring
Pages
1-36
Volume
7
Issue
3
Other Authors
Cowell, Carol S; McKusick, David R; Sonnefeld, Sally T
Abstract
National health expenditures are projected to grow to $640 billion by 1990, 11.3 percent of the gross national product. Growth in health spending is expected to moderate to an 8.7 percent average annual rate from 1984 to 1990, compared with a 12.6 percent rate from 1978 to 1984. These projections assume lower estimates of overall economic price growth, lower use of hospital care, and increased use of less expensive types of care. A preliminary analysis of demographic factors reveals that the aging of the population has almost as great an impact as the growth in total population on projected expenditures for many types of health care services.
Abstract Continued
N/A
MeSH
Costs and Cost Analysis/trends : Economics, Hospital/trends : Financing, Organized/trends : Forecasting : Health Expenditures/trends : Health Manpower : Health Services/utilization : Models, Theoretical : Population Growth : Socioeconomic Factors : Statistics : United States
NTIS Number
PB86-217973